Title: A hybrid machine learning method for covid-19 forecasting

Abstract

Background: The economic crisis in Lebanon, a middle-income eastern Mediterranean country, has been threatening the health of the local population. This review will look at the impact of the economic crisis and COVID-19 on health and healthcare in the country, discussing food insecurity and water shortages, and the hospital crisis for what concerns medications, electricity shortages and workforce issues. Methodology: Peer Reviewed Literature produced between 2015 and 2021, indexed in Pubmed, Scopus and Google Scholar was used to compile this short report. News and governmental reports, alongside reports of NGOs like Médicins sans frontières were also collected; these were analyzed for the production of this short report. Results: The challenges and public health consequences caused by the economic crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic in Lebanon were identified and commented upon. From food insecurity and water shortages, to the Beirut port explosion and the 2021 lack of fuel and electricity, it was found that the health and wellbeing of the Lebanese population is currently being threatened from many points of view. With food inflation rates rapidly escalating in 2020 and peaking at 441% in October, newborn and infant milk being non-existent and 20 hour power cuts daily, the situation in Lebanon does not seem to be improving. The country needs to receive international help to relieve the population from these synergetic crises. Conclusion: Long-term economic reforms with an emphasis on employment should be at the forefront of the government’s priority list; this should be done to prevent disasters like food insecurity and electricity shortages from posing threats to the lives and the wellbeing of the people in Lebanon again.

Biography

My name is Noha Shatila and I was born on January 6 1996 in England. I’m a Lebanese physician currently working as PGYII in the general surgery department at Makassed General, while also taking shifts in FoaudKhory Hospital. I studied medicine in Beirut Arab University and afterwards did my internship in various hospitals across Lebanon. I have also travelled to Europe for medical electives during medschool (Poland and England). During my childhood years, I was taught the english, arabic, german and french languages.